DDM Analysis: CRAI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$247.70 - $982.08	$421.67
Multi-Stage	$154.56 - $168.98	$161.63
Blended Fair Value	$291.65
Current Price	$205.17
Upside	42.15%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	12.63%	0.00%	1.82	1.60	1.41	1.22	1.11	1.00	0.89	0.73	0.17	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	13.82%	12.81%	15.57%	10.48%	10.58%	12.33%	22.24%	323.76%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.05%	1.07%	1.31%	1.43%	1.47%	3.19%	1.76%	1.39%	0.49%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	56.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	13.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	43.04

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	11.32	7.07	4.24
Cash Retained (M)	43.04	43.04	43.04
(-) Cash Required (M)	-11.32	-7.07	-4.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)	31.72	35.96	38.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6.78	6.78	6.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.68	5.31	5.73
LTM Dividend per Share	2.00	2.00	2.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.68	5.31	5.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.68	7.31	7.72
WACC / Discount Rate	8.35%	8.35%	8.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$247.70	$421.67	$982.08
Upside / Downside	20.73%	105.52%	378.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	56.58	60.26	64.18	68.35	72.79	77.52	79.85
Payout Ratio	23.94%	37.15%	50.37%	63.58%	76.79%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	13.55	22.39	32.32	43.46	55.90	69.77	73.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.35%	8.35%	8.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	20.47	20.67	20.86
Year 2 PV (M)	27.02	27.54	28.06
Year 3 PV (M)	33.21	34.17	35.14
Year 4 PV (M)	39.06	40.56	42.11
Year 5 PV (M)	44.58	46.73	48.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)	882.84	925.48	969.76
Equity Value (M)	1,047.19	1,095.15	1,144.89
Shares Outstanding (M)	6.78	6.78	6.78
Fair Value	$154.56	$161.63	$168.98
Upside / Downside	-24.67%	-21.22%	-17.64%

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CRA International, Inc. (CRAI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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