DDM Analysis: CPHN.SW

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$55.87 - $84.06	$69.20
Multi-Stage	$144.31 - $158.70	$151.36
Blended Fair Value	$110.28
Current Price	$74.00
Upside	49.03%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	17.32%	19.93%	4.00	4.50	1.30	1.80	0.00	1.80	0.65	0.65	0.60	0.65
YoY Growth	-	-	-11.11%	246.15%	-27.76%	67,387.50%	-99.85%	176.94%	0.00%	8.37%	-7.70%	-0.05%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.45%	5.29%	1.67%	2.95%	0.00%	2.27%	0.78%	1.21%	1.50%	2.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	40.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	36.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4.07

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.01	5.01	3.01
Cash Retained (M)	4.07	4.07	4.07
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.01	-5.01	-3.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-3.94	-0.94	1.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6.00	6.00	6.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.66	-0.16	0.18
LTM Dividend per Share	6.00	6.00	6.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.66	-0.16	0.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.34	5.84	6.17
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	-2.95%	-1.95%	-0.95%
Fair Value	$55.87	$69.20	$84.06
Upside / Downside	-24.50%	-6.48%	13.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	40.07	39.29	38.52	37.77	37.03	36.31	37.40
Payout Ratio	89.84%	89.87%	89.91%	89.94%	89.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	36.00	35.31	34.63	33.97	33.32	32.68	34.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	-2.95%	-1.95%	-0.95%
Year 1 PV (M)	32.87	33.21	33.55
Year 2 PV (M)	30.01	30.64	31.26
Year 3 PV (M)	27.41	28.26	29.14
Year 4 PV (M)	25.02	26.07	27.15
Year 5 PV (M)	22.85	24.05	25.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)	728.26	766.56	806.46
Equity Value (M)	866.43	908.80	952.87
Shares Outstanding (M)	6.00	6.00	6.00
Fair Value	$144.31	$151.36	$158.70
Upside / Downside	95.01%	104.54%	114.46%

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CPH Chemie + Papier Holding AG (CPHN.SW)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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