DDM Analysis: CHMF.ME

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$9,594.11 - $19,173.16	$17,968.06
Multi-Stage	$2,978.48 - $3,259.45	$3,116.39
Blended Fair Value	$10,542.22
Current Price	$943.20
Upside	1,017.71%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	19.92%	14.05%	289.15	0.00	0.05	260.06	108.59	116.58	163.90	105.42	67.61	62.04
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	-99.98%	139.49%	-6.86%	-28.87%	55.48%	55.92%	8.99%	-20.13%
Dividend Yield	-	-	24.34%	0.00%	0.00%	23.64%	7.06%	13.45%	15.94%	12.08%	8.35%	8.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	80,790.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	38,290.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	42,500.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	16,158.00	10,098.75	6,059.25
Cash Retained (M)	42,500.00	42,500.00	42,500.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-16,158.00	-10,098.75	-6,059.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	26,342.00	32,401.25	36,440.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	838.00	838.00	838.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	31.43	38.66	43.49
LTM Dividend per Share	45.69	45.69	45.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share	31.43	38.66	43.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend	77.13	84.36	89.18
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$9,594.11	$17,968.06	$19,173.16
Upside / Downside	917.19%	1,805.01%	1,932.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	80,790.00	86,041.35	91,634.04	97,590.25	103,933.62	110,689.30	114,009.98
Payout Ratio	47.39%	55.92%	64.44%	72.96%	81.48%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	38,290.00	48,110.52	59,045.94	71,199.69	84,683.96	99,620.37	105,459.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	44,813.94	45,238.72	45,663.50
Year 2 PV (M)	51,231.40	52,207.21	53,192.23
Year 3 PV (M)	57,543.64	59,195.52	60,878.70
Year 4 PV (M)	63,751.95	66,203.67	68,725.44
Year 5 PV (M)	69,857.58	73,231.73	76,735.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,208,770.03	2,315,454.45	2,426,221.93
Equity Value (M)	2,495,968.56	2,611,531.31	2,731,416.82
Shares Outstanding (M)	838.00	838.00	838.00
Fair Value	$2,978.48	$3,116.39	$3,259.45
Upside / Downside	215.78%	230.41%	245.57%

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605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
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NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
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002236.SZ	Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.46	38.43%
006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
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0NZN.L	Robertet S.A.	2.40%	$21.10	23.60%
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7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
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0GVS.L	Catena AB (publ)	2.39%	$8.76	32.84%
300577.SZ	Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.51	36.22%
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6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
KBLM.JK	PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk	2.39%	$8.08	12.05%
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PJSC Severstal (CHMF.ME)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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