Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Charter Hall Group (CHC.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.67 - $70.42$41.77
Multi-Stage$20.10 - $21.92$20.99
Blended Fair Value$31.38
Current Price$19.19
Upside63.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.32%10.31%0.460.430.410.380.360.340.320.300.240.22
YoY Growth--5.99%5.99%7.66%5.95%6.00%3.99%6.37%26.43%11.50%25.96%
Dividend Yield--2.38%3.83%3.80%3.49%2.30%3.47%2.95%4.67%4.38%4.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)586.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)315.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)270.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)117.3473.3444.00
Cash Retained (M)270.90270.90270.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-117.34-73.34-44.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)153.56197.56226.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)480.17480.17480.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.410.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.660.660.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.410.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.13%9.13%9.13%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Fair Value$27.67$41.77$70.42
Upside / Downside44.18%117.64%266.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)586.70624.29664.28706.84752.13800.32824.33
Payout Ratio53.83%61.06%68.30%75.53%82.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)315.80381.20453.68533.88622.50720.29762.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.13%9.13%9.13%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Year 1 PV (M)346.02349.30352.59
Year 2 PV (M)373.81380.94388.13
Year 3 PV (M)399.30410.78422.47
Year 4 PV (M)422.62438.89455.62
Year 5 PV (M)443.88465.34487.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,664.678,035.218,419.94
Equity Value (M)9,650.3110,080.4510,526.37
Shares Outstanding (M)480.17480.17480.17
Fair Value$20.10$20.99$21.92
Upside / Downside4.73%9.40%14.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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