DDM Analysis: CEKA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$46,755.70 - $89,220.81	$83,612.97
Multi-Stage	$13,902.42 - $15,221.42	$14,549.78
Blended Fair Value	$49,081.38
Current Price	$2,650.00
Upside	1,752.13%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	7.19%	99.86	99.86	99.86	99.86	99.86	99.85	44.89	149.75	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.01%	122.41%	-70.02%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.76%	5.26%	4.94%	5.37%	5.40%	8.32%	4.34%	11.35%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	266,933.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	89,123.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	177,809.99

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	53,386.68	33,366.68	20,020.01
Cash Retained (M)	177,809.99	177,809.99	177,809.99
(-) Cash Required (M)	-53,386.68	-33,366.68	-20,020.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)	124,423.31	144,443.31	157,789.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	595.00	595.00	595.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	209.11	242.76	265.19
LTM Dividend per Share	149.79	149.79	149.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share	209.11	242.76	265.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	358.90	392.55	414.98
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$46,755.70	$83,612.97	$89,220.81
Upside / Downside	1,664.37%	3,055.21%	3,266.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	266,933.42	284,284.09	302,762.56	322,442.13	343,400.87	365,721.92	376,693.58
Payout Ratio	33.39%	44.71%	56.03%	67.36%	78.68%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	89,123.43	127,104.30	169,646.14	217,181.39	270,179.48	329,149.73	348,441.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	118,437.62	119,560.25	120,682.88
Year 2 PV (M)	147,300.03	150,105.68	152,937.80
Year 3 PV (M)	175,715.84	180,760.01	185,899.80
Year 4 PV (M)	203,690.17	211,523.52	219,580.66
Year 5 PV (M)	231,228.12	242,396.52	253,992.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,395,565.67	7,752,774.26	8,123,654.06
Equity Value (M)	8,271,937.44	8,657,120.24	9,056,747.57
Shares Outstanding (M)	595.00	595.00	595.00
Fair Value	$13,902.42	$14,549.78	$15,221.42
Upside / Downside	424.62%	449.05%	474.39%

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PT Wilmar Cahaya Indonesia Tbk. (CEKA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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