DDM Analysis: CBG-R.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$143.54 - $586.00	$374.87
Multi-Stage	$79.47 - $86.96	$83.15
Blended Fair Value	$229.01
Current Price	$54.75
Upside	318.29%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	11.12%	1.10	1.15	1.75	2.40	2.10	1.10	0.70	0.95	0.94	0.95
YoY Growth	-	-	-4.35%	-34.29%	-27.08%	14.29%	90.91%	57.14%	-26.32%	1.07%	-1.06%	147.78%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.94%	1.83%	1.83%	2.22%	1.63%	1.73%	1.29%	1.49%	1.53%	2.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,959.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,400.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,559.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	591.96	369.97	221.98
Cash Retained (M)	1,559.80	1,559.80	1,559.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-591.96	-369.97	-221.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)	967.84	1,189.82	1,337.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,000.00	1,000.00	1,000.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.97	1.19	1.34
LTM Dividend per Share	1.40	1.40	1.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.97	1.19	1.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.37	2.59	2.74
WACC / Discount Rate	6.75%	6.75%	6.75%
Growth Rate	5.02%	6.02%	7.02%
Fair Value	$143.54	$374.87	$586.00
Upside / Downside	162.17%	584.70%	970.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,959.80	3,138.00	3,326.92	3,527.22	3,739.58	3,964.73	4,083.67
Payout Ratio	47.30%	55.84%	64.38%	72.92%	81.46%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,400.00	1,752.27	2,141.88	2,572.06	3,046.27	3,568.25	3,777.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.75%	6.75%	6.75%
Growth Rate	5.02%	6.02%	7.02%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,625.94	1,641.42	1,656.91
Year 2 PV (M)	1,844.18	1,879.47	1,915.09
Year 3 PV (M)	2,054.91	2,114.17	2,174.56
Year 4 PV (M)	2,258.31	2,345.56	2,435.32
Year 5 PV (M)	2,454.57	2,573.68	2,697.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)	69,235.68	72,595.35	76,084.19
Equity Value (M)	79,473.60	83,149.66	86,963.43
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,000.00	1,000.00	1,000.00
Fair Value	$79.47	$83.15	$86.96
Upside / Downside	45.16%	51.87%	58.84%

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Carabao Group Public Company Limited (CBG-R.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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