DDM Analysis: CAT31.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$247.08 - $374.31	$306.95
Multi-Stage	$497.61 - $548.12	$522.36
Blended Fair Value	$414.66
Current Price	$87.70
Upside	372.81%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.20%	-0.11%	2.81	2.52	2.68	0.45	2.17	1.81	2.09	3.03	2.91	2.85
YoY Growth	-	-	11.51%	-5.90%	490.75%	-79.08%	19.75%	-13.42%	-31.10%	4.11%	2.25%	0.31%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.74%	3.85%	3.80%	0.56%	2.19%	1.35%	1.85%	2.93%	3.20%	3.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	129.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	23.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)	106.10

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	25.96	16.23	9.74
Cash Retained (M)	106.10	106.10	106.10
(-) Cash Required (M)	-25.96	-16.23	-9.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)	80.14	89.87	96.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4.56	4.56	4.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share	17.59	19.73	21.15
LTM Dividend per Share	5.21	5.21	5.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share	17.59	19.73	21.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	22.80	24.93	26.36
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	-2.01%	-1.01%	-0.01%
Fair Value	$247.08	$306.95	$374.31
Upside / Downside	181.73%	250.00%	326.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	129.81	128.51	127.21	125.93	124.67	123.41	127.11
Payout Ratio	18.27%	32.61%	46.96%	61.31%	75.65%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	23.72	41.91	59.74	77.21	94.31	111.07	117.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	-2.01%	-1.01%	-0.01%
Year 1 PV (M)	38.76	39.16	39.55
Year 2 PV (M)	51.10	52.15	53.21
Year 3 PV (M)	61.07	62.96	64.89
Year 4 PV (M)	69.00	71.86	74.81
Year 5 PV (M)	75.15	79.06	83.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,971.88	2,074.57	2,181.49
Equity Value (M)	2,266.96	2,379.76	2,497.08
Shares Outstanding (M)	4.56	4.56	4.56
Fair Value	$497.61	$522.36	$548.12
Upside / Downside	467.40%	495.63%	524.99%

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Financial Statements

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Caisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 31 (CAT31.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener