DDM Analysis: BUSE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$34.83 - $94.09	$53.55
Multi-Stage	$27.06 - $29.51	$28.26
Blended Fair Value	$40.91
Current Price	$23.15
Upside	76.70%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.70%	12.14%	0.78	0.76	0.73	0.73	0.69	0.65	0.56	0.44	0.33	0.27
YoY Growth	-	-	2.06%	4.35%	0.20%	5.73%	6.29%	15.79%	27.04%	34.99%	22.18%	8.10%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.59%	3.24%	3.58%	2.87%	2.68%	3.78%	2.25%	1.48%	1.11%	1.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	102.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	77.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)	24.71

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	20.52	12.83	7.70
Cash Retained (M)	24.71	24.71	24.71
(-) Cash Required (M)	-20.52	-12.83	-7.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4.19	11.88	17.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	69.77	69.77	69.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.17	0.24
LTM Dividend per Share	1.12	1.12	1.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.17	0.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.18	1.29	1.36
WACC / Discount Rate	8.53%	8.53%	8.53%
Growth Rate	4.99%	5.99%	6.99%
Fair Value	$34.83	$53.55	$94.09
Upside / Downside	50.44%	131.33%	306.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	102.62	108.76	115.27	122.17	129.49	137.24	141.36
Payout Ratio	75.92%	78.74%	81.55%	84.37%	87.18%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	77.91	85.63	94.01	103.08	112.89	123.52	130.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.53%	8.53%	8.53%
Growth Rate	4.99%	5.99%	6.99%
Year 1 PV (M)	78.16	78.90	79.65
Year 2 PV (M)	78.31	79.81	81.32
Year 3 PV (M)	78.36	80.62	82.93
Year 4 PV (M)	78.33	81.36	84.47
Year 5 PV (M)	78.22	82.02	85.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,496.20	1,568.83	1,644.25
Equity Value (M)	1,887.58	1,971.53	2,058.57
Shares Outstanding (M)	69.77	69.77	69.77
Fair Value	$27.06	$28.26	$29.51
Upside / Downside	16.87%	22.07%	27.46%

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First Busey Corporation (BUSE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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