DDM Analysis: BRD

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.32 - $3.68	$2.94
Multi-Stage	$6.19 - $6.81	$6.50
Blended Fair Value	$4.72
Current Price	$10.75
Upside	-56.12%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2022	2021
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.16	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.57%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)	0.21

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.94	0.59	0.35
Cash Retained (M)	0.21	0.21	0.21
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.94	-0.59	-0.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-0.73	-0.38	-0.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	20.34	20.34	20.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.22	0.22	0.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.18	0.20	0.21
WACC / Discount Rate	5.80%	5.80%	5.80%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$2.32	$2.94	$3.68
Upside / Downside	-78.44%	-72.68%	-65.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4.69	4.64	4.60	4.55	4.51	4.46	4.60
Payout Ratio	95.51%	94.41%	93.31%	92.20%	91.10%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4.48	4.38	4.29	4.20	4.11	4.02	4.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.80%	5.80%	5.80%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	4.10	4.14	4.19
Year 2 PV (M)	3.76	3.83	3.91
Year 3 PV (M)	3.44	3.54	3.65
Year 4 PV (M)	3.15	3.28	3.41
Year 5 PV (M)	2.88	3.03	3.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)	108.66	114.32	120.21
Equity Value (M)	125.98	132.15	138.56
Shares Outstanding (M)	20.34	20.34	20.34
Fair Value	$6.19	$6.50	$6.81
Upside / Downside	-42.38%	-39.56%	-36.63%

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Beard Energy Transition Acquisition Corp. (BRD)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener