DDM Analysis: BNP.DE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$709.92 - $3,801.25	$1,400.13
Multi-Stage	$475.48 - $520.15	$497.41
Blended Fair Value	$948.77
Current Price	$76.27
Upside	1,143.96%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.30%	13.23%	5.15	4.68	4.25	3.93	0.37	3.46	3.50	3.00	1.59	0.56
YoY Growth	-	-	10.06%	10.14%	8.19%	963.38%	-89.32%	-1.29%	16.84%	88.50%	184.34%	-62.39%
Dividend Yield	-	-	8.74%	7.45%	7.93%	6.47%	0.85%	6.51%	8.99%	4.85%	2.65%	1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	22,186.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	11,339.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	10,847.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4,437.20	2,773.25	1,663.95
Cash Retained (M)	10,847.00	10,847.00	10,847.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4,437.20	-2,773.25	-1,663.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	6,409.80	8,073.75	9,183.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,152.74	1,152.74	1,152.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share	5.56	7.00	7.97
LTM Dividend per Share	9.84	9.84	9.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share	5.56	7.00	7.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend	15.40	16.84	17.80
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	4.76%	5.76%	6.76%
Fair Value	$709.92	$1,400.13	$3,801.25
Upside / Downside	830.80%	1,735.76%	4,883.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	22,186.00	23,463.78	24,815.15	26,244.35	27,755.86	29,354.43	30,235.06
Payout Ratio	51.11%	58.89%	66.67%	74.44%	82.22%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	11,339.00	13,817.13	16,543.09	19,537.22	22,821.36	26,418.98	27,967.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	4.76%	5.76%	6.76%
Year 1 PV (M)	12,787.34	12,909.41	13,031.47
Year 2 PV (M)	14,169.09	14,440.89	14,715.27
Year 3 PV (M)	15,486.41	15,934.14	16,390.42
Year 4 PV (M)	16,741.41	17,389.85	18,056.96
Year 5 PV (M)	17,936.15	18,808.72	19,714.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	470,983.04	493,895.59	517,691.32
Equity Value (M)	548,103.44	573,378.59	599,600.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,152.74	1,152.74	1,152.74
Fair Value	$475.48	$497.41	$520.15
Upside / Downside	523.42%	552.16%	581.99%

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BNP Paribas S.A. (BNP.DE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener