DDM Analysis: BNGA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,402.96 - $3,641.18	$2,985.51
Multi-Stage	$5,017.49 - $5,515.63	$5,261.70
Blended Fair Value	$4,123.61
Current Price	$1,695.00
Upside	143.28%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	34.85%	0.00%	123.55	114.24	93.31	43.70	55.38	27.70	23.68	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	8.15%	22.43%	113.52%	-21.09%	99.88%	16.97%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.29%	5.34%	7.35%	3.92%	5.57%	4.50%	2.21%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6,961,315.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,965,061.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,996,254.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,392,263.00	870,164.38	522,098.63
Cash Retained (M)	2,996,254.00	2,996,254.00	2,996,254.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,392,263.00	-870,164.38	-522,098.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,603,991.00	2,126,089.63	2,474,155.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	25,139.51	25,139.51	25,139.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share	63.80	84.57	98.42
LTM Dividend per Share	157.72	157.72	157.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share	63.80	84.57	98.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend	221.53	242.29	256.14
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$2,402.96	$2,985.51	$3,641.18
Upside / Downside	41.77%	76.14%	114.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6,961,315.00	6,891,701.85	6,822,784.83	6,754,556.98	6,687,011.41	6,620,141.30	6,818,745.54
Payout Ratio	56.96%	63.57%	70.18%	76.78%	83.39%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,965,061.00	4,380,834.65	4,787,896.31	5,186,378.66	5,576,412.57	5,958,127.17	6,307,339.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	4,051,575.35	4,092,917.96	4,134,260.56
Year 2 PV (M)	4,095,235.25	4,179,237.89	4,264,093.35
Year 3 PV (M)	4,102,658.80	4,229,536.30	4,359,003.05
Year 4 PV (M)	4,079,652.15	4,248,734.67	4,423,019.28
Year 5 PV (M)	4,031,299.51	4,241,218.62	4,459,792.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)	105,776,893.80	111,284,942.07	117,020,090.89
Equity Value (M)	126,137,314.86	132,276,587.52	138,660,259.98
Shares Outstanding (M)	25,139.51	25,139.51	25,139.51
Fair Value	$5,017.49	$5,261.70	$5,515.63
Upside / Downside	196.02%	210.42%	225.41%

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Financial Statements

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PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk (BNGA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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