DDM Analysis: BMY

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$195.43 - $589.45	$552.40
Multi-Stage	$82.78 - $90.44	$86.54
Blended Fair Value	$319.47
Current Price	$45.10
Upside	608.36%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	12.66%	7.33%	2.39	2.33	2.27	2.16	2.00	1.31	1.28	1.26	1.25	1.22
YoY Growth	-	-	2.51%	2.37%	5.41%	7.88%	52.11%	2.53%	1.40%	1.18%	2.83%	3.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.91%	4.39%	3.28%	2.95%	3.17%	2.36%	2.72%	2.00%	2.30%	1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6,039.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5,001.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,038.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,207.80	754.88	452.93
Cash Retained (M)	1,038.00	1,038.00	1,038.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,207.80	-754.88	-452.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-169.80	283.13	585.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,037.49	2,037.49	2,037.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.08	0.14	0.29
LTM Dividend per Share	2.45	2.45	2.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.08	0.14	0.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.37	2.59	2.74
WACC / Discount Rate	6.78%	6.78%	6.78%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$195.43	$552.40	$589.45
Upside / Downside	333.33%	1,124.84%	1,206.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6,039.00	6,431.54	6,849.58	7,294.81	7,768.97	8,273.95	8,522.17
Payout Ratio	82.81%	84.25%	85.69%	87.12%	88.56%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5,001.00	5,418.53	5,869.21	6,355.58	6,880.38	7,446.56	7,883.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.78%	6.78%	6.78%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	5,026.83	5,074.48	5,122.13
Year 2 PV (M)	5,051.32	5,147.54	5,244.66
Year 3 PV (M)	5,074.51	5,220.18	5,368.61
Year 4 PV (M)	5,096.41	5,292.40	5,493.99
Year 5 PV (M)	5,117.05	5,364.21	5,620.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)	143,305.59	150,227.30	157,413.93
Equity Value (M)	168,671.71	176,326.11	184,264.14
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,037.49	2,037.49	2,037.49
Fair Value	$82.78	$86.54	$90.44
Upside / Downside	83.56%	91.89%	100.53%

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Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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