DDM Analysis: BLK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$688.93 - $1,402.90	$963.75
Multi-Stage	$567.59 - $618.84	$592.76
Blended Fair Value	$778.25
Current Price	$1,165.87
Upside	-33.25%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.15%	8.77%	19.80	19.38	19.09	16.26	14.43	13.38	12.57	10.61	9.86	9.42
YoY Growth	-	-	2.17%	1.51%	17.39%	12.70%	7.82%	6.50%	18.41%	7.57%	4.67%	10.31%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.09%	2.34%	2.85%	2.13%	1.91%	3.04%	2.87%	1.96%	2.57%	2.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6,096.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,288.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,808.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,219.20	762.00	457.20
Cash Retained (M)	2,808.00	2,808.00	2,808.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,219.20	-762.00	-457.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,588.80	2,046.00	2,350.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	156.63	156.63	156.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share	10.14	13.06	15.01
LTM Dividend per Share	20.99	20.99	20.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share	10.14	13.06	15.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	31.14	34.06	36.00
WACC / Discount Rate	9.76%	9.76%	9.76%
Growth Rate	5.02%	6.02%	7.02%
Fair Value	$688.93	$963.75	$1,402.90
Upside / Downside	-40.91%	-17.34%	20.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6,096.00	6,462.74	6,851.54	7,263.73	7,700.72	8,164.00	8,408.92
Payout Ratio	53.94%	61.15%	68.36%	75.57%	82.79%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,288.00	3,951.94	4,683.86	5,489.55	6,375.23	7,347.60	7,778.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.76%	9.76%	9.76%
Growth Rate	5.02%	6.02%	7.02%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,566.49	3,600.45	3,634.41
Year 2 PV (M)	3,814.75	3,887.74	3,961.43
Year 3 PV (M)	4,034.86	4,151.23	4,269.81
Year 4 PV (M)	4,228.81	4,392.20	4,560.28
Year 5 PV (M)	4,398.44	4,611.89	4,833.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)	68,855.47	72,196.83	75,666.67
Equity Value (M)	88,898.83	92,840.35	96,926.15
Shares Outstanding (M)	156.63	156.63	156.63
Fair Value	$567.59	$592.76	$618.84
Upside / Downside	-51.32%	-49.16%	-46.92%

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603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
9569.SR	Almuneef Company for Trade, Industry, Agriculture and Contracting	2.43%	$0.20	19.26%
ALV	Autoliv, Inc.	2.43%	$2.97	30.32%
KEPEN.AT	Flour Mills Kepenos S.A.	2.43%	$0.05	39.82%
MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
OV8.SI	Sheng Siong Group Ltd	2.43%	$0.06	66.54%
VIL.PA	VIEL & Cie, S.A.	2.43%	$0.40	12.44%
002236.SZ	Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.46	38.43%
006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
002968.SZ	New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd.	2.40%	$0.29	59.28%
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4015.SR	Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company	2.40%	$3.46	54.14%
7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
002158.SZ	Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.60	60.14%
004690.KS	Samchully Co.,Ltd	2.39%	$3,000.02	10.30%
0GVS.L	Catena AB (publ)	2.39%	$8.76	32.84%
300577.SZ	Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.51	36.22%
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6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
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BlackRock, Inc. (BLK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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