DDM Analysis: BLES.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$90.96 - $131.47	$110.67
Multi-Stage	$149.98 - $164.76	$157.22
Blended Fair Value	$133.94
Current Price	$175.00
Upside	-23.46%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	3.36	6.77	5.65	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-50.37%	20.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.82%	2.75%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	111,889.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	32,017.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)	79,871.88

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	22,377.92	13,986.20	8,391.72
Cash Retained (M)	79,871.88	79,871.88	79,871.88
(-) Cash Required (M)	-22,377.92	-13,986.20	-8,391.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)	57,493.95	65,885.68	71,480.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	8,857.36	8,857.36	8,857.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share	6.49	7.44	8.07
LTM Dividend per Share	3.61	3.61	3.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share	6.49	7.44	8.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.11	11.05	11.68
WACC / Discount Rate	8.89%	8.89%	8.89%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$90.96	$110.67	$131.47
Upside / Downside	-48.02%	-36.76%	-24.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	111,889.62	110,770.72	109,663.02	108,566.39	107,480.72	106,405.92	109,598.09
Payout Ratio	28.62%	40.89%	53.17%	65.45%	77.72%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	32,017.74	45,296.78	58,307.04	71,052.56	83,537.34	95,765.32	101,378.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.89%	8.89%	8.89%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	41,179.20	41,599.40	42,019.59
Year 2 PV (M)	48,188.36	49,176.81	50,175.30
Year 3 PV (M)	53,384.04	55,034.98	56,719.61
Year 4 PV (M)	57,058.84	59,423.66	61,861.24
Year 5 PV (M)	59,464.96	62,561.44	65,785.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,069,115.04	1,124,786.34	1,182,753.01
Equity Value (M)	1,328,390.45	1,392,582.64	1,459,314.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	8,857.36	8,857.36	8,857.36
Fair Value	$149.98	$157.22	$164.76
Upside / Downside	-14.30%	-10.16%	-5.85%

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Superior Prima Sukses Tbk. (BLES.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener