DDM Analysis: BKE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$68.25 - $134.50	$94.33
Multi-Stage	$65.98 - $71.85	$68.86
Blended Fair Value	$81.59
Current Price	$54.80
Upside	48.89%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	11.90%	1.15%	3.91	3.89	4.01	6.87	2.54	2.23	1.93	2.65	1.68	1.85
YoY Growth	-	-	0.65%	-3.03%	-41.67%	170.74%	13.83%	15.46%	-26.99%	57.78%	-9.51%	-46.90%
Dividend Yield	-	-	10.89%	10.23%	11.96%	22.13%	6.05%	15.55%	10.18%	11.81%	8.97%	6.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	206.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	198.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)	7.81

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	41.22	25.76	15.46
Cash Retained (M)	7.81	7.81	7.81
(-) Cash Required (M)	-41.22	-25.76	-15.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-33.41	-17.95	-7.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	50.61	50.61	50.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.66	-0.35	-0.15
LTM Dividend per Share	3.92	3.92	3.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.66	-0.35	-0.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.26	3.56	3.77
WACC / Discount Rate	9.20%	9.20%	9.20%
Growth Rate	4.23%	5.23%	6.23%
Fair Value	$68.25	$94.33	$134.50
Upside / Downside	24.55%	72.13%	145.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	206.10	216.87	228.20	240.13	252.68	265.89	273.87
Payout Ratio	96.21%	94.97%	93.73%	92.48%	91.24%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	198.29	205.96	213.89	222.08	230.55	239.30	253.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.20%	9.20%	9.20%
Growth Rate	4.23%	5.23%	6.23%
Year 1 PV (M)	186.81	188.60	190.39
Year 2 PV (M)	175.97	179.36	182.78
Year 3 PV (M)	165.72	170.54	175.45
Year 4 PV (M)	156.05	162.12	168.38
Year 5 PV (M)	146.91	154.10	161.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,507.60	2,630.23	2,757.60
Equity Value (M)	3,339.06	3,484.95	3,636.17
Shares Outstanding (M)	50.61	50.61	50.61
Fair Value	$65.98	$68.86	$71.85
Upside / Downside	20.40%	25.66%	31.11%

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The Buckle, Inc. (BKE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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