DDM Analysis: BISI.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$231.97 - $314.35	$274.04
Multi-Stage	$460.75 - $506.41	$483.13
Blended Fair Value	$378.58
Current Price	$875.00
Upside	-56.73%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-4.36%	20.89%	80.00	68.00	68.00	38.00	38.00	100.00	100.00	88.00	33.00	21.00
YoY Growth	-	-	17.65%	0.00%	78.95%	0.00%	-62.00%	0.00%	13.64%	166.67%	57.14%	75.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.48%	3.51%	3.99%	2.86%	3.36%	16.13%	7.19%	4.46%	1.76%	1.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	144,541.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	84,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	60,541.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	28,908.20	18,067.63	10,840.58
Cash Retained (M)	60,541.00	60,541.00	60,541.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-28,908.20	-18,067.63	-10,840.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)	31,632.80	42,473.38	49,700.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,000.00	3,000.00	3,000.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	10.54	14.16	16.57
LTM Dividend per Share	28.00	28.00	28.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	10.54	14.16	16.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend	38.54	42.16	44.57
WACC / Discount Rate	9.19%	9.19%	9.19%
Growth Rate	-6.36%	-5.36%	-4.36%
Fair Value	$231.97	$274.04	$314.35
Upside / Downside	-73.49%	-68.68%	-64.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	144,541.00	136,786.74	129,448.47	122,503.88	115,931.86	109,712.40	113,003.77
Payout Ratio	58.11%	64.49%	70.87%	77.25%	83.62%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	84,000.00	88,216.50	91,738.84	94,629.35	96,945.70	98,741.16	104,528.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.19%	9.19%	9.19%
Growth Rate	-6.36%	-5.36%	-4.36%
Year 1 PV (M)	79,935.31	80,789.00	81,642.69
Year 2 PV (M)	75,323.58	76,941.04	78,575.69
Year 3 PV (M)	70,403.21	72,683.05	75,011.58
Year 4 PV (M)	65,355.78	68,192.75	71,121.10
Year 5 PV (M)	60,317.39	63,607.80	67,040.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,030,929.37	1,087,168.12	1,145,834.85
Equity Value (M)	1,382,264.64	1,449,381.76	1,519,226.17
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,000.00	3,000.00	3,000.00
Fair Value	$460.75	$483.13	$506.41
Upside / Downside	-47.34%	-44.79%	-42.12%

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Financial Statements

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PT BISI International Tbk (BISI.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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