DDM Analysis: BCH-R.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$33.19 - $103.93	$97.40
Multi-Stage	$14.41 - $15.74	$15.06
Blended Fair Value	$56.23
Current Price	$13.00
Upside	332.55%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	10.96%	11.03%	0.37	0.51	1.41	0.33	0.23	0.22	0.23	0.18	0.14	0.12
YoY Growth	-	-	-26.00%	-64.29%	324.98%	43.23%	4.55%	-4.35%	27.78%	28.57%	16.66%	-7.69%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.67%	2.45%	6.93%	1.62%	1.58%	1.95%	1.35%	1.06%	1.09%	1.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,289.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,072.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)	217.60

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	257.98	161.24	96.74
Cash Retained (M)	217.60	217.60	217.60
(-) Cash Required (M)	-257.98	-161.24	-96.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-40.38	56.37	120.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,468.23	2,468.23	2,468.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.02	0.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.43	0.43	0.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.02	0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.42	0.46	0.48
WACC / Discount Rate	6.83%	6.83%	6.83%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$33.19	$97.40	$103.93
Upside / Downside	155.34%	649.23%	699.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,289.90	1,373.75	1,463.04	1,558.14	1,659.42	1,767.28	1,820.30
Payout Ratio	83.13%	84.50%	85.88%	87.25%	88.63%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,072.30	1,160.87	1,256.43	1,359.51	1,470.67	1,590.55	1,683.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.83%	6.83%	6.83%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,076.46	1,086.67	1,096.87
Year 2 PV (M)	1,080.36	1,100.94	1,121.71
Year 3 PV (M)	1,083.99	1,115.11	1,146.82
Year 4 PV (M)	1,087.37	1,129.18	1,172.19
Year 5 PV (M)	1,090.49	1,143.16	1,197.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)	30,150.93	31,607.23	33,119.27
Equity Value (M)	35,569.60	37,182.28	38,854.70
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,468.23	2,468.23	2,468.23
Fair Value	$14.41	$15.06	$15.74
Upside / Downside	10.85%	15.88%	21.09%

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Bangkok Chain Hospital Public Company Limited (BCH-R.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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