DDM Analysis: BBNI.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$30,787.28 - $111,321.37	$97,589.00
Multi-Stage	$14,458.79 - $15,799.24	$15,116.81
Blended Fair Value	$56,352.91
Current Price	$4,120.00
Upside	1,267.79%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	22.74%	14.43%	280.46	196.50	73.09	22.00	103.18	100.70	127.85	106.46	60.81	72.31
YoY Growth	-	-	42.73%	168.84%	232.23%	-78.68%	2.46%	-21.23%	20.09%	75.07%	-15.91%	-0.76%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.61%	3.48%	1.56%	0.53%	3.60%	5.27%	2.72%	2.45%	1.88%	2.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	20,866,036.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	13,951,339.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6,914,697.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4,173,207.20	2,608,254.50	1,564,952.70
Cash Retained (M)	6,914,697.00	6,914,697.00	6,914,697.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4,173,207.20	-2,608,254.50	-1,564,952.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,741,489.80	4,306,442.50	5,349,744.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	37,277.06	37,277.06	37,277.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share	73.54	115.53	143.51
LTM Dividend per Share	374.26	374.26	374.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share	73.54	115.53	143.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend	447.80	489.79	517.77
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$30,787.28	$97,589.00	$111,321.37
Upside / Downside	647.26%	2,268.67%	2,601.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	20,866,036.00	22,222,328.34	23,666,779.68	25,205,120.36	26,843,453.18	28,588,277.64	29,445,925.97
Payout Ratio	66.86%	71.49%	76.12%	80.74%	85.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	13,951,339.00	15,886,559.93	18,014,415.17	20,351,770.88	22,916,871.93	25,729,449.88	27,237,481.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	14,703,099.48	14,842,465.35	14,981,831.22
Year 2 PV (M)	15,430,437.07	15,724,343.56	16,021,022.75
Year 3 PV (M)	16,133,897.56	16,597,043.78	17,068,969.76
Year 4 PV (M)	16,814,016.07	17,460,635.68	18,125,728.75
Year 5 PV (M)	17,471,317.31	18,315,188.47	19,191,356.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)	458,428,274.22	480,570,531.28	503,560,224.64
Equity Value (M)	538,981,041.71	563,510,208.11	588,949,133.68
Shares Outstanding (M)	37,277.06	37,277.06	37,277.06
Fair Value	$14,458.79	$15,116.81	$15,799.24
Upside / Downside	250.94%	266.91%	283.48%

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PT Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (BBNI.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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