DDM Analysis: BBL.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5.11 - $27.68	$9.98
Multi-Stage	$2.89 - $3.17	$3.03
Blended Fair Value	$6.50
Current Price	$0.96
Upside	577.38%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.45%	11.61%	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	50.00%	100.00%	-50.00%	0.00%	33.33%	0.00%	0.00%	50.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.58%	1.67%	0.91%	0.63%	2.30%	2.44%	1.53%	1.36%	2.03%	1.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	13.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	10.21

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.73	1.71	1.02
Cash Retained (M)	10.21	10.21	10.21
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.73	-1.71	-1.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)	7.48	8.51	9.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	98.02	98.02	98.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.08	0.09	0.09
LTM Dividend per Share	0.04	0.04	0.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.08	0.09	0.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.11	0.12	0.13
WACC / Discount Rate	7.80%	7.80%	7.80%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$5.11	$9.98	$27.68
Upside / Downside	432.06%	939.34%	2,783.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	13.64	14.53	15.47	16.48	17.55	18.69	19.25
Payout Ratio	25.15%	38.12%	51.09%	64.06%	77.03%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3.43	5.54	7.91	10.56	13.52	16.82	17.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.80%	7.80%	7.80%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	5.09	5.14	5.19
Year 2 PV (M)	6.68	6.80	6.93
Year 3 PV (M)	8.19	8.43	8.67
Year 4 PV (M)	9.64	10.01	10.39
Year 5 PV (M)	11.02	11.56	12.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)	243.12	254.87	267.06
Equity Value (M)	283.75	296.80	310.35
Shares Outstanding (M)	98.02	98.02	98.02
Fair Value	$2.89	$3.03	$3.17
Upside / Downside	201.55%	215.42%	229.81%

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Brisbane Broncos Limited (BBL.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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