DDM Analysis: AYUD.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$346.40 - $1,221.74	$1,144.95
Multi-Stage	$156.79 - $171.53	$164.03
Blended Fair Value	$654.49
Current Price	$35.00
Upside	1,769.96%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	28.22%	6.66%	2.57	1.16	5.91	1.54	1.49	0.74	0.57	1.12	1.28	1.61
YoY Growth	-	-	121.55%	-80.37%	283.77%	3.24%	101.15%	30.96%	-49.62%	-12.50%	-20.00%	19.05%
Dividend Yield	-	-	8.03%	3.16%	14.59%	3.46%	4.52%	2.51%	1.17%	2.40%	3.92%	4.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,391.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	912.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,478.85

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	478.27	298.92	179.35
Cash Retained (M)	1,478.85	1,478.85	1,478.85
(-) Cash Required (M)	-478.27	-298.92	-179.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,000.58	1,179.93	1,299.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	389.27	389.27	389.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.57	3.03	3.34
LTM Dividend per Share	2.34	2.34	2.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.57	3.03	3.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.91	5.38	5.68
WACC / Discount Rate	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$346.40	$1,144.95	$1,221.74
Upside / Downside	889.73%	3,171.28%	3,390.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,391.36	2,546.80	2,712.34	2,888.65	3,076.41	3,276.38	3,374.67
Payout Ratio	38.16%	48.53%	58.90%	69.26%	79.63%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	912.52	1,235.89	1,597.44	2,000.78	2,449.80	2,948.74	3,121.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,144.22	1,155.07	1,165.92
Year 2 PV (M)	1,369.27	1,395.35	1,421.68
Year 3 PV (M)	1,587.80	1,633.38	1,679.82
Year 4 PV (M)	1,799.94	1,869.16	1,940.36
Year 5 PV (M)	2,005.84	2,102.73	2,203.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)	53,127.97	55,694.07	58,358.38
Equity Value (M)	61,035.05	63,849.76	66,769.48
Shares Outstanding (M)	389.27	389.27	389.27
Fair Value	$156.79	$164.03	$171.53
Upside / Downside	347.99%	368.64%	390.07%

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Allianz Ayudhya Capital Public Company Limited (AYUD.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener