DDM Analysis: AXIO.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$84.66 - $128.38	$105.21
Multi-Stage	$181.52 - $199.31	$190.24
Blended Fair Value	$147.73
Current Price	$131.00
Upside	12.77%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	13.00	15.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-13.33%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	12.26%	7.43%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	56,817.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	46,721.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)	10,096.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	11,363.40	7,102.13	4,261.28
Cash Retained (M)	10,096.00	10,096.00	10,096.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-11,363.40	-7,102.13	-4,261.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-1,267.41	2,993.87	5,834.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5,840.13	5,840.13	5,840.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.22	0.51	1.00
LTM Dividend per Share	8.00	8.00	8.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.22	0.51	1.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	7.78	8.51	9.00
WACC / Discount Rate	7.01%	7.01%	7.01%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$84.66	$105.21	$128.38
Upside / Downside	-35.38%	-19.68%	-2.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	56,817.01	56,248.84	55,686.35	55,129.49	54,578.19	54,032.41	55,653.38
Payout Ratio	82.23%	83.78%	85.34%	86.89%	88.45%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	46,721.01	47,127.83	47,521.84	47,903.26	48,272.30	48,629.17	51,479.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.01%	7.01%	7.01%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	43,595.80	44,040.66	44,485.51
Year 2 PV (M)	40,665.65	41,499.80	42,342.41
Year 3 PV (M)	37,919.87	39,092.57	40,289.19
Year 4 PV (M)	35,348.17	36,813.19	38,323.28
Year 5 PV (M)	32,940.72	34,656.02	36,442.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)	869,649.91	914,934.60	962,086.41
Equity Value (M)	1,060,120.13	1,111,036.83	1,163,968.85
Shares Outstanding (M)	5,840.13	5,840.13	5,840.13
Fair Value	$181.52	$190.24	$199.31
Upside / Downside	38.57%	45.22%	52.14%

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Financial Statements

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PT Tera Data Indonusa Tbk (AXIO.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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