DDM Analysis: AWK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$299.86 - $1,134.10	$878.26
Multi-Stage	$143.48 - $156.83	$150.03
Blended Fair Value	$514.15
Current Price	$139.19
Upside	269.39%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	10.63%	10.48%	3.00	2.73	2.39	2.19	1.99	1.81	1.64	1.48	1.34	1.23
YoY Growth	-	-	9.96%	13.92%	9.11%	10.03%	10.20%	10.66%	10.38%	10.73%	9.21%	10.65%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.03%	2.27%	1.63%	1.33%	1.33%	1.51%	1.58%	1.80%	1.72%	1.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,112.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	621.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	491.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	222.40	139.00	83.40
Cash Retained (M)	491.00	491.00	491.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-222.40	-139.00	-83.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)	268.60	352.00	407.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	195.00	195.00	195.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.38	1.81	2.09
LTM Dividend per Share	3.18	3.18	3.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.38	1.81	2.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.56	4.99	5.27
WACC / Discount Rate	7.11%	7.11%	7.11%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$299.86	$878.26	$1,134.10
Upside / Downside	115.43%	530.98%	714.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,112.00	1,184.28	1,261.26	1,343.24	1,430.55	1,523.54	1,569.24
Payout Ratio	55.85%	62.68%	69.51%	76.34%	83.17%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	621.00	742.26	876.67	1,025.40	1,189.78	1,371.18	1,451.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.11%	7.11%	7.11%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	686.52	693.02	699.53
Year 2 PV (M)	749.93	764.21	778.63
Year 3 PV (M)	811.29	834.57	858.31
Year 4 PV (M)	870.64	904.12	938.56
Year 5 PV (M)	928.02	972.85	1,019.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)	23,931.82	25,087.74	26,287.89
Equity Value (M)	27,978.21	29,256.51	30,582.30
Shares Outstanding (M)	195.00	195.00	195.00
Fair Value	$143.48	$150.03	$156.83
Upside / Downside	3.08%	7.79%	12.67%

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603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
9569.SR	Almuneef Company for Trade, Industry, Agriculture and Contracting	2.43%	$0.20	19.26%
ALV	Autoliv, Inc.	2.43%	$2.97	30.32%
KEPEN.AT	Flour Mills Kepenos S.A.	2.43%	$0.05	39.82%
MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
OV8.SI	Sheng Siong Group Ltd	2.43%	$0.06	66.54%
VIL.PA	VIEL & Cie, S.A.	2.43%	$0.40	12.44%
002236.SZ	Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.46	38.43%
006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
002968.SZ	New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd.	2.40%	$0.29	59.28%
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4015.SR	Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company	2.40%	$3.46	54.14%
7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
002158.SZ	Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.60	60.14%
004690.KS	Samchully Co.,Ltd	2.39%	$3,000.02	10.30%
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6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
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Financial Statements

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American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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