DDM Analysis: AVEN.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$15.26 - $42.62	$23.71
Multi-Stage	$15.96 - $17.47	$16.70
Blended Fair Value	$20.20
Current Price	$10.20
Upside	98.08%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.65	0.30	0.28	0.22	0.17	0.14	0.10	1.01
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	118.27%	7.14%	24.58%	29.45%	19.99%	50.03%	-90.53%	1,471.44%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	6.84%	1.69%	1.99%	2.10%	1.01%	1.69%	1.02%	17.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	23.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	18.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5.16

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4.74	2.96	1.78
Cash Retained (M)	5.16	5.16	5.16
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4.74	-2.96	-1.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.41	2.19	3.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	37.12	37.12	37.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.06	0.09
LTM Dividend per Share	0.50	0.50	0.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.06	0.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.51	0.56	0.59
WACC / Discount Rate	6.82%	6.82%	6.82%
Growth Rate	3.36%	4.36%	5.36%
Fair Value	$15.26	$23.71	$42.62
Upside / Downside	49.65%	132.42%	317.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	23.72	24.75	25.83	26.96	28.14	29.36	30.24
Payout Ratio	78.26%	80.61%	82.96%	85.31%	87.65%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	18.56	19.95	21.43	23.00	24.66	26.43	27.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.82%	6.82%	6.82%
Growth Rate	3.36%	4.36%	5.36%
Year 1 PV (M)	18.50	18.68	18.86
Year 2 PV (M)	18.42	18.78	19.14
Year 3 PV (M)	18.33	18.87	19.41
Year 4 PV (M)	18.22	18.94	19.67
Year 5 PV (M)	18.10	19.00	19.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)	501.08	525.80	551.47
Equity Value (M)	592.66	620.05	648.48
Shares Outstanding (M)	37.12	37.12	37.12
Fair Value	$15.96	$16.70	$17.47
Upside / Downside	56.52%	63.75%	71.26%

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Avensia AB (publ) (AVEN.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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