DDM Analysis: ATR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$97.07 - $184.46	$132.33
Multi-Stage	$108.20 - $118.54	$113.27
Blended Fair Value	$122.80
Current Price	$133.66
Upside	-8.12%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	4.80%	4.84%	1.69	1.54	1.48	1.46	1.37	1.34	1.22	1.19	1.14	1.06
YoY Growth	-	-	10.00%	4.24%	0.97%	6.31%	2.72%	9.55%	3.00%	4.29%	7.60%	0.25%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.14%	1.08%	1.25%	1.24%	0.97%	1.34%	1.13%	1.32%	1.48%	1.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	419.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	119.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)	300.01

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	83.85	52.41	31.44
Cash Retained (M)	300.01	300.01	300.01
(-) Cash Required (M)	-83.85	-52.41	-31.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)	216.16	247.61	268.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	67.43	67.43	67.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.21	3.67	3.98
LTM Dividend per Share	1.77	1.77	1.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.21	3.67	3.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.97	5.44	5.75
WACC / Discount Rate	8.07%	8.07%	8.07%
Growth Rate	2.80%	3.80%	4.80%
Fair Value	$97.07	$132.33	$184.46
Upside / Downside	-27.37%	-1.00%	38.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	419.25	435.19	451.74	468.92	486.75	505.27	520.42
Payout Ratio	28.44%	40.75%	53.06%	65.38%	77.69%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	119.23	177.35	239.71	306.56	378.15	454.74	481.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.07%	8.07%	8.07%
Growth Rate	2.80%	3.80%	4.80%
Year 1 PV (M)	162.52	164.10	165.69
Year 2 PV (M)	201.31	205.25	209.22
Year 3 PV (M)	235.93	242.88	249.97
Year 4 PV (M)	266.70	277.23	288.06
Year 5 PV (M)	293.90	308.48	323.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6,135.82	6,440.10	6,756.35
Equity Value (M)	7,296.18	7,638.04	7,992.91
Shares Outstanding (M)	67.43	67.43	67.43
Fair Value	$108.20	$113.27	$118.54
Upside / Downside	-19.05%	-15.25%	-11.31%

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AptarGroup, Inc. (ATR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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