DDM Analysis: AROC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$31.54 - $73.46	$46.25
Multi-Stage	$24.68 - $26.93	$25.79
Blended Fair Value	$36.02
Current Price	$26.31
Upside	36.90%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	7.04%	10.60%	0.63	0.55	0.52	0.51	0.51	0.45	0.33	0.20	0.20	0.24
YoY Growth	-	-	15.22%	6.07%	1.09%	0.58%	13.12%	34.73%	71.12%	-2.46%	-16.02%	3.14%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.41%	2.77%	5.29%	5.54%	5.36%	11.96%	3.34%	2.23%	1.61%	2.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	265.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	135.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)	129.86

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	53.06	33.16	19.90
Cash Retained (M)	129.86	129.86	129.86
(-) Cash Required (M)	-53.06	-33.16	-19.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)	76.80	96.70	109.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	174.60	174.60	174.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.44	0.55	0.63
LTM Dividend per Share	0.78	0.78	0.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.44	0.55	0.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.22	1.33	1.41
WACC / Discount Rate	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%
Growth Rate	5.04%	6.04%	7.04%
Fair Value	$31.54	$46.25	$73.46
Upside / Downside	19.89%	75.80%	179.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	265.28	281.31	298.32	316.35	335.47	355.75	366.43
Payout Ratio	51.05%	58.84%	66.63%	74.42%	82.21%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	135.42	165.52	198.76	235.42	275.79	320.18	338.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%
Growth Rate	5.04%	6.04%	7.04%
Year 1 PV (M)	150.29	151.72	153.15
Year 2 PV (M)	163.88	167.01	170.18
Year 3 PV (M)	176.25	181.33	186.50
Year 4 PV (M)	187.47	194.71	202.16
Year 5 PV (M)	197.62	207.21	217.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,433.57	3,600.15	3,773.12
Equity Value (M)	4,309.08	4,502.13	4,702.28
Shares Outstanding (M)	174.60	174.60	174.60
Fair Value	$24.68	$25.79	$26.93
Upside / Downside	-6.20%	-1.99%	2.36%

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Archrock, Inc. (AROC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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