DDM Analysis: ARMK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$12.40 - $19.54	$15.67
Multi-Stage	$16.43 - $18.00	$17.20
Blended Fair Value	$16.44
Current Price	$39.00
Upside	-57.85%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-0.01%	3.07%	0.41	0.37	0.43	0.42	0.42	0.41	0.41	0.39	0.38	0.34
YoY Growth	-	-	10.93%	-12.84%	1.32%	0.99%	1.01%	2.26%	5.16%	2.28%	9.49%	12.43%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.06%	1.00%	1.52%	1.42%	1.57%	1.49%	1.29%	1.86%	1.22%	1.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	326.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	110.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)	215.57

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	65.28	40.80	24.48
Cash Retained (M)	215.57	215.57	215.57
(-) Cash Required (M)	-65.28	-40.80	-24.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)	150.29	174.77	191.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	267.56	267.56	267.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.56	0.65	0.71
LTM Dividend per Share	0.41	0.41	0.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.56	0.65	0.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.98	1.07	1.13
WACC / Discount Rate	9.02%	9.02%	9.02%
Growth Rate	1.07%	2.07%	3.07%
Fair Value	$12.40	$15.67	$19.54
Upside / Downside	-68.20%	-59.82%	-49.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	326.39	333.15	340.05	347.09	354.28	361.61	372.46
Payout Ratio	33.95%	45.16%	56.37%	67.58%	78.79%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	110.82	150.46	191.69	234.57	279.14	325.45	344.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.02%	9.02%	9.02%
Growth Rate	1.07%	2.07%	3.07%
Year 1 PV (M)	136.66	138.01	139.36
Year 2 PV (M)	158.13	161.28	164.45
Year 3 PV (M)	175.75	181.02	186.39
Year 4 PV (M)	189.95	197.58	205.44
Year 5 PV (M)	201.15	211.30	221.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,535.34	3,713.73	3,899.25
Equity Value (M)	4,396.97	4,602.90	4,816.74
Shares Outstanding (M)	267.56	267.56	267.56
Fair Value	$16.43	$17.20	$18.00
Upside / Downside	-57.86%	-55.89%	-53.84%

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605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
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NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
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071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
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BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
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Aramark (ARMK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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