DDM Analysis: ARCAD.AS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$384.46 - $833.63	$781.23
Multi-Stage	$127.07 - $139.02	$132.93
Blended Fair Value	$457.08
Current Price	$41.20
Upside	1,009.42%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	31.92%	12.12%	0.85	0.74	1.29	0.35	0.04	0.21	0.16	0.19	0.26	0.34
YoY Growth	-	-	14.73%	-43.03%	270.22%	797.83%	-81.61%	33.09%	-17.22%	-26.49%	-22.95%	25.91%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.44%	1.52%	3.52%	0.83%	0.14%	1.02%	1.53%	1.04%	2.02%	1.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	376.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	196.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)	180.22

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	75.35	47.09	28.26
Cash Retained (M)	180.22	180.22	180.22
(-) Cash Required (M)	-75.35	-47.09	-28.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)	104.87	133.13	151.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	89.88	89.88	89.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.17	1.48	1.69
LTM Dividend per Share	2.19	2.19	2.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.17	1.48	1.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.35	3.67	3.88
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$384.46	$781.23	$833.63
Upside / Downside	833.16%	1,796.19%	1,923.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	376.74	401.23	427.31	455.08	484.66	516.17	531.65
Payout Ratio	52.16%	59.73%	67.30%	74.87%	82.43%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	196.52	239.66	287.57	340.70	399.52	464.55	491.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	223.09	225.20	227.31
Year 2 PV (M)	249.17	253.92	258.71
Year 3 PV (M)	274.80	282.68	290.72
Year 4 PV (M)	299.95	311.49	323.35
Year 5 PV (M)	324.66	340.34	356.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)	10,048.75	10,534.11	11,038.04
Equity Value (M)	11,420.41	11,947.74	12,494.76
Shares Outstanding (M)	89.88	89.88	89.88
Fair Value	$127.07	$132.93	$139.02
Upside / Downside	208.41%	222.66%	237.43%

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Arcadis N.V. (ARCAD.AS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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