DDM Analysis: ARBS.MI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$16.32 - $92.58	$29.84
Multi-Stage	$9.96 - $10.88	$10.41
Blended Fair Value	$20.12
Current Price	$2.42
Upside	731.55%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	17.29%	0.00%	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-62.25%	50.00%	300.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.10%	6.02%	0.00%	0.00%	0.60%	1.19%	0.88%	0.22%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.40

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.65	0.41	0.24
Cash Retained (M)	1.40	1.40	1.40
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.65	-0.41	-0.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.75	1.00	1.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6.66	6.66	6.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.15	0.17
LTM Dividend per Share	0.28	0.28	0.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.15	0.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.39	0.43	0.45
WACC / Discount Rate	8.02%	8.02%	8.02%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$16.32	$29.84	$92.58
Upside / Downside	574.29%	1,132.95%	3,725.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3.25	3.46	3.69	3.93	4.18	4.45	4.59
Payout Ratio	56.80%	63.44%	70.08%	76.72%	83.36%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1.85	2.20	2.58	3.01	3.48	4.01	4.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.02%	8.02%	8.02%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2.01	2.03	2.05
Year 2 PV (M)	2.17	2.21	2.26
Year 3 PV (M)	2.32	2.39	2.46
Year 4 PV (M)	2.46	2.56	2.66
Year 5 PV (M)	2.60	2.72	2.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)	54.75	57.39	60.14
Equity Value (M)	66.32	69.31	72.41
Shares Outstanding (M)	6.66	6.66	6.66
Fair Value	$9.96	$10.41	$10.88
Upside / Downside	311.58%	330.15%	349.40%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Arterra Bioscience (ARBS.MI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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