DDM Analysis: APOG

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$22.22 - $35.69	$28.31
Multi-Stage	$27.14 - $29.70	$28.40
Blended Fair Value	$28.35
Current Price	$43.98
Upside	-35.53%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	3.04%	6.06%	1.00	0.98	0.91	0.94	0.90	0.86	0.82	0.76	0.68	0.61
YoY Growth	-	-	2.86%	7.44%	-2.94%	3.39%	4.74%	4.76%	8.97%	11.77%	11.25%	9.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.60%	1.50%	2.36%	2.19%	2.38%	4.18%	2.28%	1.72%	1.21%	1.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	44.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	16.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	27.89

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.89	5.55	3.33
Cash Retained (M)	27.89	27.89	27.89
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.89	-5.55	-3.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)	19.00	22.33	24.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	21.66	21.66	21.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.88	1.03	1.13
LTM Dividend per Share	0.76	0.76	0.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.88	1.03	1.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.64	1.80	1.90
WACC / Discount Rate	9.36%	9.36%	9.36%
Growth Rate	1.84%	2.84%	3.84%
Fair Value	$22.22	$28.31	$35.69
Upside / Downside	-49.47%	-35.63%	-18.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	44.44	45.70	46.99	48.33	49.70	51.11	52.64
Payout Ratio	37.24%	47.80%	58.35%	68.90%	79.45%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	16.55	21.84	27.42	33.30	39.48	46.00	48.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.36%	9.36%	9.36%
Growth Rate	1.84%	2.84%	3.84%
Year 1 PV (M)	19.78	19.97	20.17
Year 2 PV (M)	22.48	22.93	23.38
Year 3 PV (M)	24.72	25.46	26.21
Year 4 PV (M)	26.55	27.61	28.70
Year 5 PV (M)	28.01	29.41	30.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)	466.31	489.66	513.94
Equity Value (M)	587.85	615.04	643.25
Shares Outstanding (M)	21.66	21.66	21.66
Fair Value	$27.14	$28.40	$29.70
Upside / Downside	-38.29%	-35.44%	-32.47%

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Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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