DDM Analysis: AN3PJ.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$706.63 - $832.53	$780.20
Multi-Stage	$197.66 - $216.44	$206.88
Blended Fair Value	$493.54
Current Price	$102.70
Upside	380.56%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	9.83%	1.97%	1.40	1.61	1.34	1.16	0.87	0.88	1.37	1.40	1.35	1.40
YoY Growth	-	-	-12.93%	19.91%	15.75%	33.52%	-0.94%	-36.01%	-2.02%	4.04%	-3.90%	21.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	1.57%	1.34%	1.17%	0.86%	0.87%	1.36%	1.39%	1.33%	1.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	13,633.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	10,099.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,534.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2,726.60	1,704.13	1,022.48
Cash Retained (M)	3,534.00	3,534.00	3,534.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2,726.60	-1,704.13	-1,022.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)	807.40	1,829.88	2,511.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,256.67	3,256.67	3,256.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.25	0.56	0.77
LTM Dividend per Share	3.10	3.10	3.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.25	0.56	0.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.35	3.66	3.87
WACC / Discount Rate	5.24%	5.24%	5.24%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$706.63	$780.20	$832.53
Upside / Downside	588.05%	659.69%	710.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	13,633.00	14,519.15	15,462.89	16,467.98	17,538.40	18,678.39	19,238.74
Payout Ratio	74.08%	77.26%	80.45%	83.63%	86.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	10,099.00	11,217.79	12,439.36	13,772.34	15,226.05	16,810.55	17,795.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.24%	5.24%	5.24%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	10,558.89	10,658.98	10,759.06
Year 2 PV (M)	11,020.97	11,230.89	11,442.79
Year 3 PV (M)	11,485.25	11,814.95	12,150.90
Year 4 PV (M)	11,951.73	12,411.36	12,884.12
Year 5 PV (M)	12,420.42	13,020.33	13,643.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)	586,273.94	614,591.19	643,992.21
Equity Value (M)	643,711.20	673,727.69	704,872.27
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,256.67	3,256.67	3,256.67
Fair Value	$197.66	$206.88	$216.44
Upside / Downside	92.46%	101.44%	110.75%

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ANZ Group Holdings Limited (AN3PJ.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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