DDM Analysis: AMTB

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$11.48 - $16.62	$13.98
Multi-Stage	$18.89 - $20.77	$19.81
Blended Fair Value	$16.89
Current Price	$19.27
Upside	-12.33%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.31	0.29	0.29	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.95	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	6.27%	-1.37%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.48%	1.26%	1.34%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	6.46%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	66.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	15.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)	51.41

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	13.32	8.32	4.99
Cash Retained (M)	51.41	51.41	51.41
(-) Cash Required (M)	-13.32	-8.32	-4.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)	38.09	43.09	46.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	42.03	42.03	42.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.91	1.03	1.10
LTM Dividend per Share	0.36	0.36	0.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.91	1.03	1.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.27	1.39	1.47
WACC / Discount Rate	8.82%	8.82%	8.82%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$11.48	$13.98	$16.62
Upside / Downside	-40.42%	-27.46%	-13.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	66.60	65.93	65.27	64.62	63.97	63.33	65.23
Payout Ratio	22.80%	36.24%	49.68%	63.12%	76.56%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	15.19	23.89	32.43	40.79	48.98	57.00	60.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.82%	8.82%	8.82%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	21.74	21.96	22.18
Year 2 PV (M)	26.83	27.38	27.94
Year 3 PV (M)	30.70	31.65	32.62
Year 4 PV (M)	33.54	34.93	36.36
Year 5 PV (M)	35.50	37.35	39.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)	645.75	679.37	714.39
Equity Value (M)	794.06	832.65	872.76
Shares Outstanding (M)	42.03	42.03	42.03
Fair Value	$18.89	$19.81	$20.77
Upside / Downside	-1.95%	2.81%	7.77%

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Amerant Bancorp Inc. (AMTB)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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