DDM Analysis: AMATAV.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$41.48 - $48.87	$45.80
Multi-Stage	$10.34 - $11.34	$10.83
Blended Fair Value	$28.32
Current Price	$2.44
Upside	1,060.50%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-32.78%	-9.33%	0.01	0.06	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.14	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-82.36%	40.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-44.45%	200.00%	-40.00%	-66.67%	0.00%	-100.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.32%	1.34%	0.78%	0.00%	0.81%	2.45%	0.61%	0.67%	1.89%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	248.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	53.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)	195.62

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	49.78	31.11	18.67
Cash Retained (M)	195.62	195.62	195.62
(-) Cash Required (M)	-49.78	-31.11	-18.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)	145.83	164.50	176.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,012.88	1,012.88	1,012.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.16	0.17
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.16	0.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.20	0.22	0.23
WACC / Discount Rate	5.45%	5.45%	5.45%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$41.48	$45.80	$48.87
Upside / Downside	1,600.08%	1,777.08%	1,902.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	248.91	265.09	282.32	300.67	320.21	341.03	351.26
Payout Ratio	21.41%	35.13%	48.85%	62.56%	76.28%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	53.29	93.12	137.90	188.11	244.27	306.93	324.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.45%	5.45%	5.45%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	87.48	88.31	89.14
Year 2 PV (M)	121.70	124.01	126.35
Year 3 PV (M)	155.95	160.42	164.98
Year 4 PV (M)	190.23	197.54	205.07
Year 5 PV (M)	224.54	235.38	246.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,696.88	10,165.24	10,651.53
Equity Value (M)	10,476.76	10,970.91	11,483.71
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,012.88	1,012.88	1,012.88
Fair Value	$10.34	$10.83	$11.34
Upside / Downside	323.92%	343.91%	364.66%

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Amata VN Public Company Limited (AMATAV.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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