DDM Analysis: ALNU.ME

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$168,628.44 - $259,122.72	$210,791.76
Multi-Stage	$374,746.58 - $412,249.90	$393,130.80
Blended Fair Value	$301,961.28
Current Price	$65,400.00
Upside	361.71%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014	2013	2012	2011
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	11,135.50	7,266.91	17,653.91	18,833.55	15,250.59	8,942.63	9,590.75	10,470.60	4,895.30
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	53.24%	-58.84%	-6.26%	23.49%	70.54%	-6.76%	-8.40%	113.89%	258.39%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	23.69%	13.02%	11.77%	11.21%	13.03%	11.04%	14.64%	19.14%	11.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	13,834.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	7,593.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6,241.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2,766.96	1,729.35	1,037.61
Cash Retained (M)	6,241.50	6,241.50	6,241.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2,766.96	-1,729.35	-1,037.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3,474.53	4,512.14	5,203.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	0.75	0.75	0.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4,652.81	6,042.29	6,968.61
LTM Dividend per Share	10,168.35	10,168.35	10,168.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4,652.81	6,042.29	6,968.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend	14,821.16	16,210.64	17,136.96
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$168,628.44	$210,791.76	$259,122.72
Upside / Downside	157.84%	222.31%	296.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	13,834.82	13,696.48	13,559.51	13,423.92	13,289.68	13,156.78	13,551.48
Payout Ratio	54.89%	61.91%	68.93%	75.95%	82.98%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	7,593.33	8,479.28	9,346.76	10,196.03	11,027.39	11,841.10	12,535.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	7,872.96	7,953.29	8,033.63
Year 2 PV (M)	8,057.84	8,223.12	8,390.09
Year 3 PV (M)	8,161.46	8,413.86	8,671.41
Year 4 PV (M)	8,195.74	8,535.42	8,885.54
Year 5 PV (M)	8,171.21	8,596.71	9,039.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)	239,386.83	251,852.25	264,831.64
Equity Value (M)	279,846.03	293,574.65	307,852.05
Shares Outstanding (M)	0.75	0.75	0.75
Fair Value	$374,746.58	$393,130.80	$412,249.90
Upside / Downside	473.01%	501.12%	530.35%

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PJSC ALROSA-Nyurba (ALNU.ME)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener