Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Argo Global Listed Infrastructure Limited (ALI.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - GlobalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.33 - $16.90$13.98
Multi-Stage$20.97 - $23.10$22.01
Blended Fair Value$18.00
Current Price$2.28
Upside689.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS12.28%0.00%0.090.080.070.060.060.050.040.030.030.04
YoY Growth--17.51%3.59%14.32%1.97%25.73%26.40%31.61%12.14%-33.43%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.95%3.81%3.26%2.79%2.91%2.44%1.76%1.68%1.46%2.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)246.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)220.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.2430.7718.46
Cash Retained (M)220.20220.20220.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.24-30.77-18.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)170.96189.42201.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)177.62177.62177.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.961.071.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.961.071.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.111.211.28
WACC / Discount Rate7.59%7.59%7.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.33$13.98$16.90
Upside / Downside397.11%513.22%641.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)246.20243.74241.30238.88236.50234.13241.15
Payout Ratio10.56%26.45%42.34%58.22%74.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.0064.46102.16139.09175.27210.72223.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.59%7.59%7.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)59.3159.9260.52
Year 2 PV (M)86.4888.2690.05
Year 3 PV (M)108.34111.69115.11
Year 4 PV (M)125.61130.81136.18
Year 5 PV (M)138.94146.18153.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,205.803,372.733,546.55
Equity Value (M)3,724.483,909.584,102.11
Shares Outstanding (M)177.62177.62177.62
Fair Value$20.97$22.01$23.10
Upside / Downside819.71%865.42%912.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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