DDM Analysis: ALFLE.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$173.63 - $287.05	$223.90
Multi-Stage	$349.32 - $384.64	$366.64
Blended Fair Value	$295.27
Current Price	$25.50
Upside	1,057.91%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.97%	1.08%	1.32	1.23	1.22	1.02	0.83	1.26	1.16	1.15	1.22	1.22
YoY Growth	-	-	8.09%	0.48%	19.24%	23.90%	-34.59%	9.19%	0.36%	-5.47%	0.00%	2.37%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.82%	6.16%	6.66%	4.37%	2.99%	3.99%	2.99%	2.46%	1.89%	1.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	62.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	10.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)	51.91

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	12.46	7.79	4.67
Cash Retained (M)	51.91	51.91	51.91
(-) Cash Required (M)	-12.46	-7.79	-4.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)	39.44	44.12	47.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4.09	4.09	4.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share	9.65	10.80	11.56
LTM Dividend per Share	2.55	2.55	2.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share	9.65	10.80	11.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend	12.20	13.35	14.11
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-0.67%	0.33%	1.33%
Fair Value	$173.63	$223.90	$287.05
Upside / Downside	580.91%	778.03%	1,025.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	62.32	62.53	62.74	62.94	63.15	63.36	65.26
Payout Ratio	16.71%	31.37%	46.03%	60.69%	75.34%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	10.42	19.62	28.88	38.20	47.58	57.02	60.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-0.67%	0.33%	1.33%
Year 1 PV (M)	18.27	18.45	18.64
Year 2 PV (M)	25.04	25.55	26.06
Year 3 PV (M)	30.85	31.79	32.75
Year 4 PV (M)	35.79	37.25	38.76
Year 5 PV (M)	39.94	41.99	44.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,277.53	1,343.14	1,411.43
Equity Value (M)	1,427.42	1,498.18	1,571.76
Shares Outstanding (M)	4.09	4.09	4.09
Fair Value	$349.32	$366.64	$384.64
Upside / Downside	1,269.88%	1,337.79%	1,408.41%

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Fleury Michon S.A. (ALFLE.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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