DDM Analysis: ALF

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.93 - $6.23	$4.98
Multi-Stage	$10.21 - $11.25	$10.72
Blended Fair Value	$7.85
Current Price	$10.55
Upside	-25.60%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2021	2020	2019
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	12.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5.90

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.43	1.52	0.91
Cash Retained (M)	5.90	5.90	5.90
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.43	-1.52	-0.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3.47	4.38	4.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	31.03	31.03	31.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.14	0.16
LTM Dividend per Share	0.20	0.20	0.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.14	0.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.31	0.34	0.36
WACC / Discount Rate	5.80%	5.80%	5.80%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$3.93	$4.98	$6.23
Upside / Downside	-62.77%	-52.82%	-40.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	12.13	12.01	11.89	11.77	11.65	11.53	11.88
Payout Ratio	51.38%	59.10%	66.83%	74.55%	82.28%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6.23	7.10	7.94	8.77	9.59	10.38	10.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.80%	5.80%	5.80%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	6.64	6.71	6.78
Year 2 PV (M)	6.95	7.10	7.24
Year 3 PV (M)	7.19	7.41	7.63
Year 4 PV (M)	7.35	7.65	7.96
Year 5 PV (M)	7.44	7.83	8.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)	281.32	295.97	311.22
Equity Value (M)	316.89	332.66	349.07
Shares Outstanding (M)	31.03	31.03	31.03
Fair Value	$10.21	$10.72	$11.25
Upside / Downside	-3.21%	1.61%	6.62%

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Centurion Acquisition Corp. (ALF)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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