DDM Analysis: AIT

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$182.22 - $372.66	$255.32
Multi-Stage	$180.48 - $197.73	$188.95
Blended Fair Value	$222.13
Current Price	$261.05
Upside	-14.91%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	5.44%	4.09%	1.65	1.45	1.38	1.34	1.31	1.26	1.22	1.19	1.15	1.12
YoY Growth	-	-	14.00%	4.55%	3.17%	2.25%	3.66%	3.40%	3.07%	2.78%	2.97%	1.56%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.63%	0.65%	0.89%	1.30%	1.45%	2.30%	2.15%	1.53%	1.75%	2.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	401.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	66.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)	334.87

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	80.35	50.22	30.13
Cash Retained (M)	334.87	334.87	334.87
(-) Cash Required (M)	-80.35	-50.22	-30.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	254.52	284.65	304.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	38.65	38.65	38.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share	6.59	7.37	7.88
LTM Dividend per Share	1.73	1.73	1.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share	6.59	7.37	7.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend	8.32	9.10	9.62
WACC / Discount Rate	8.16%	8.16%	8.16%
Growth Rate	3.44%	4.44%	5.44%
Fair Value	$182.22	$255.32	$372.66
Upside / Downside	-30.20%	-2.19%	42.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	401.73	419.58	438.22	457.69	478.02	499.26	514.24
Payout Ratio	16.64%	31.32%	45.99%	60.66%	75.33%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	66.87	131.39	201.52	277.63	360.09	449.34	475.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.16%	8.16%	8.16%
Growth Rate	3.44%	4.44%	5.44%
Year 1 PV (M)	120.31	121.48	122.64
Year 2 PV (M)	168.97	172.25	175.57
Year 3 PV (M)	213.15	219.39	225.75
Year 4 PV (M)	253.15	263.08	273.30
Year 5 PV (M)	289.25	303.51	318.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,930.44	6,222.69	6,526.34
Equity Value (M)	6,975.28	7,302.40	7,641.93
Shares Outstanding (M)	38.65	38.65	38.65
Fair Value	$180.48	$188.95	$197.73
Upside / Downside	-30.86%	-27.62%	-24.26%

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Financial Statements

Fundamentals

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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