DDM Analysis: AIG-PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$25.45 - $34.39	$30.03
Multi-Stage	$51.27 - $56.55	$53.86
Blended Fair Value	$41.94
Current Price	$78.54
Upside	-46.60%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-2.10%	3.48%	1.67	1.67	1.64	1.81	1.84	1.86	1.90	1.96	2.29	1.72
YoY Growth	-	-	0.50%	1.53%	-9.33%	-1.81%	-0.99%	-2.11%	-2.90%	-14.58%	33.46%	44.38%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.93%	2.15%	3.26%	2.88%	3.99%	7.68%	4.32%	3.60%	3.67%	3.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,259.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	978.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,281.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	651.80	407.38	244.43
Cash Retained (M)	2,281.00	2,281.00	2,281.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-651.80	-407.38	-244.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,629.20	1,873.63	2,036.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	598.36	598.36	598.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.72	3.13	3.40
LTM Dividend per Share	1.63	1.63	1.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.72	3.13	3.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.36	4.77	5.04
WACC / Discount Rate	8.82%	8.82%	8.82%
Growth Rate	-7.08%	-6.08%	-5.08%
Fair Value	$25.45	$30.03	$34.39
Upside / Downside	-67.59%	-61.77%	-56.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,259.00	3,060.69	2,874.45	2,699.55	2,535.28	2,381.01	2,452.44
Payout Ratio	30.01%	42.01%	54.01%	66.00%	78.00%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	978.00	1,285.72	1,552.36	1,781.80	1,977.57	2,142.91	2,268.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.82%	8.82%	8.82%
Growth Rate	-7.08%	-6.08%	-5.08%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,168.92	1,181.50	1,194.08
Year 2 PV (M)	1,283.13	1,310.90	1,338.96
Year 3 PV (M)	1,338.98	1,382.68	1,427.32
Year 4 PV (M)	1,351.10	1,410.21	1,471.24
Year 5 PV (M)	1,331.06	1,404.25	1,480.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)	24,207.43	25,538.44	26,927.36
Equity Value (M)	30,680.62	32,227.98	33,839.58
Shares Outstanding (M)	598.36	598.36	598.36
Fair Value	$51.27	$53.86	$56.55
Upside / Downside	-34.72%	-31.42%	-27.99%

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American International Group, Inc. (AIG-PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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