DDM Analysis: ADW-A.TO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.81 - $8.41	$6.34
Multi-Stage	$9.22 - $10.12	$9.66
Blended Fair Value	$8.00
Current Price	$5.26
Upside	52.12%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	2.57%	6.08%	0.24	0.24	0.24	0.23	0.21	0.21	0.20	0.17	0.15	0.14
YoY Growth	-	-	0.25%	0.26%	1.53%	11.34%	-0.11%	7.01%	16.55%	10.97%	7.67%	6.64%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.54%	6.06%	5.79%	4.00%	2.21%	2.39%	1.42%	0.99%	1.39%	1.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	16.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	10.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5.64

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3.21	2.01	1.20
Cash Retained (M)	5.64	5.64	5.64
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3.21	-2.01	-1.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2.43	3.63	4.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	43.61	43.61	43.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.08	0.10
LTM Dividend per Share	0.24	0.24	0.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.08	0.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.29	0.32	0.34
WACC / Discount Rate	6.26%	6.26%	6.26%
Growth Rate	0.13%	1.13%	2.13%
Fair Value	$4.81	$6.34	$8.41
Upside / Downside	-8.65%	20.58%	59.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	16.04	16.22	16.41	16.59	16.78	16.97	17.48
Payout Ratio	64.87%	69.90%	74.92%	79.95%	84.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	10.41	11.34	12.29	13.26	14.26	15.27	16.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.26%	6.26%	6.26%
Growth Rate	0.13%	1.13%	2.13%
Year 1 PV (M)	10.57	10.67	10.78
Year 2 PV (M)	10.67	10.89	11.10
Year 3 PV (M)	10.73	11.06	11.39
Year 4 PV (M)	10.75	11.18	11.63
Year 5 PV (M)	10.73	11.27	11.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)	348.51	366.26	384.73
Equity Value (M)	401.95	421.33	441.47
Shares Outstanding (M)	43.61	43.61	43.61
Fair Value	$9.22	$9.66	$10.12
Upside / Downside	75.22%	83.67%	92.45%

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Andrew Peller Limited (ADW-A.TO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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