DDM Analysis: ADORFO.BO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$106.59 - $206.83	$146.45
Multi-Stage	$88.68 - $96.77	$92.65
Blended Fair Value	$119.55
Current Price	$145.00
Upside	-17.55%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	27.23%	9.52%	4.99	2.99	2.19	0.00	4.27	1.50	0.00	1.50	1.75	2.00
YoY Growth	-	-	66.67%	36.36%	0.00%	-100.00%	185.33%	0.00%	-100.00%	-14.19%	-12.68%	-0.43%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.44%	2.82%	3.12%	0.00%	12.00%	2.89%	0.00%	3.16%	3.83%	4.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	227.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	87.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	139.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	45.40	28.38	17.03
Cash Retained (M)	139.50	139.50	139.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-45.40	-28.38	-17.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	94.10	111.13	122.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	35.10	35.10	35.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.68	3.17	3.49
LTM Dividend per Share	2.49	2.49	2.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.68	3.17	3.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.17	5.66	5.98
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	4.91%	5.91%	6.91%
Fair Value	$106.59	$146.45	$206.83
Upside / Downside	-26.49%	1.00%	42.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	227.00	240.41	254.62	269.66	285.59	302.47	311.54
Payout Ratio	38.55%	48.84%	59.13%	69.42%	79.71%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	87.50	117.41	150.55	187.19	227.64	272.22	288.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	4.91%	5.91%	6.91%
Year 1 PV (M)	105.73	106.74	107.74
Year 2 PV (M)	122.08	124.42	126.78
Year 3 PV (M)	136.69	140.64	144.66
Year 4 PV (M)	149.69	155.48	161.44
Year 5 PV (M)	161.20	169.03	177.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,437.77	2,556.19	2,679.17
Equity Value (M)	3,113.16	3,252.50	3,396.96
Shares Outstanding (M)	35.10	35.10	35.10
Fair Value	$88.68	$92.65	$96.77
Upside / Downside	-38.84%	-36.10%	-33.26%

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Ador Fontech Limited (ADORFO.BO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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