DDM Analysis: ADH.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$16.07 - $63.37	$44.09
Multi-Stage	$7.83 - $8.56	$8.19
Blended Fair Value	$26.14
Current Price	$2.09
Upside	1,150.72%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	8.28%	0.00%	0.11	0.04	0.15	0.16	0.23	0.07	0.13	0.09	0.09	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	159.79%	-72.26%	-6.72%	-27.61%	205.79%	-44.83%	45.01%	-0.01%	100.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.30%	2.25%	9.73%	8.63%	5.36%	3.24%	9.31%	4.17%	10.83%	1.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	56.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	27.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)	29.42

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	11.35	7.10	4.26
Cash Retained (M)	29.42	29.42	29.42
(-) Cash Required (M)	-11.35	-7.10	-4.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)	18.07	22.32	25.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	178.17	178.17	178.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.13	0.14
LTM Dividend per Share	0.15	0.15	0.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.13	0.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.25	0.28	0.29
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$16.07	$44.09	$63.37
Upside / Downside	668.91%	2,009.46%	2,932.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	56.77	60.46	64.39	68.58	73.04	77.78	80.12
Payout Ratio	48.18%	56.54%	64.91%	73.27%	81.64%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	27.35	34.19	41.79	50.25	59.62	70.00	74.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	31.60	31.90	32.20
Year 2 PV (M)	35.71	36.39	37.07
Year 3 PV (M)	39.68	40.82	41.98
Year 4 PV (M)	43.52	45.19	46.91
Year 5 PV (M)	47.23	49.51	51.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,197.94	1,255.80	1,315.88
Equity Value (M)	1,395.67	1,459.61	1,525.92
Shares Outstanding (M)	178.17	178.17	178.17
Fair Value	$7.83	$8.19	$8.56
Upside / Downside	274.81%	291.98%	309.79%

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Adairs Limited (ADH.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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