DDM Analysis: ACIC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$14.57 - $21.90	$18.03
Multi-Stage	$25.59 - $28.14	$26.84
Blended Fair Value	$22.44
Current Price	$11.39
Upside	96.99%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	18.58%	21.87%	0.49	0.00	0.05	0.21	0.21	0.21	0.21	0.18	0.10	0.09
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	-74.99%	0.36%	0.32%	0.12%	14.20%	80.76%	15.62%	28.96%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.20%	0.00%	1.85%	6.30%	2.88%	2.24%	1.26%	0.95%	0.63%	0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	85.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	24.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)	61.12

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17.04	10.65	6.39
Cash Retained (M)	61.12	61.12	61.12
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17.04	-10.65	-6.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)	44.07	50.46	54.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	49.64	49.64	49.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.89	1.02	1.10
LTM Dividend per Share	0.49	0.49	0.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.89	1.02	1.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.37	1.50	1.59
WACC / Discount Rate	7.87%	7.87%	7.87%
Growth Rate	-1.43%	-0.43%	0.57%
Fair Value	$14.57	$18.03	$21.90
Upside / Downside	27.89%	58.33%	92.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	85.22	84.85	84.49	84.13	83.77	83.41	85.91
Payout Ratio	28.28%	40.63%	52.97%	65.31%	77.66%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	24.10	34.47	44.75	54.95	65.05	75.07	79.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.87%	7.87%	7.87%
Growth Rate	-1.43%	-0.43%	0.57%
Year 1 PV (M)	31.64	31.96	32.28
Year 2 PV (M)	37.70	38.47	39.24
Year 3 PV (M)	42.48	43.78	45.11
Year 4 PV (M)	46.15	48.05	50.01
Year 5 PV (M)	48.88	51.41	54.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,063.59	1,118.64	1,175.96
Equity Value (M)	1,270.43	1,332.31	1,396.65
Shares Outstanding (M)	49.64	49.64	49.64
Fair Value	$25.59	$26.84	$28.14
Upside / Downside	124.70%	135.64%	147.02%

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Financial Statements

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Ticker

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Sector

American Coastal Insurance Corporation (ACIC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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