DDM Analysis: ABM

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$27.49 - $50.90	$37.10
Multi-Stage	$30.30 - $33.13	$31.69
Blended Fair Value	$34.40
Current Price	$46.13
Upside	-25.44%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.44%	5.03%	0.90	0.91	0.82	0.81	0.78	0.76	0.73	0.63	0.58	0.57
YoY Growth	-	-	-1.74%	10.79%	1.76%	3.45%	3.35%	3.70%	16.46%	7.05%	2.50%	4.05%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.68%	2.23%	1.75%	1.94%	2.04%	1.98%	2.13%	1.65%	1.45%	1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	115.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	63.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	52.40

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	23.18	14.49	8.69
Cash Retained (M)	52.40	52.40	52.40
(-) Cash Required (M)	-23.18	-14.49	-8.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)	29.22	37.91	43.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	63.13	63.13	63.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.46	0.60	0.69
LTM Dividend per Share	1.01	1.01	1.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.46	0.60	0.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.47	1.61	1.70
WACC / Discount Rate	8.53%	8.53%	8.53%
Growth Rate	3.03%	4.03%	5.03%
Fair Value	$27.49	$37.10	$50.90
Upside / Downside	-40.40%	-19.57%	10.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	115.90	120.57	125.42	130.47	135.72	141.19	145.42
Payout Ratio	54.79%	61.83%	68.87%	75.92%	82.96%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	63.50	74.55	86.38	99.05	112.59	127.07	134.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.53%	8.53%	8.53%
Growth Rate	3.03%	4.03%	5.03%
Year 1 PV (M)	68.03	68.69	69.35
Year 2 PV (M)	71.93	73.34	74.75
Year 3 PV (M)	75.27	77.48	79.74
Year 4 PV (M)	78.08	81.15	84.32
Year 5 PV (M)	80.41	84.39	88.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,539.17	1,615.33	1,694.48
Equity Value (M)	1,912.88	2,000.38	2,091.16
Shares Outstanding (M)	63.13	63.13	63.13
Fair Value	$30.30	$31.69	$33.13
Upside / Downside	-34.31%	-31.30%	-28.19%

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Financial Statements

Fundamentals

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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