DDM Analysis: AALLON.HE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$7.29 - $10.45	$8.84
Multi-Stage	$12.20 - $13.36	$12.77
Blended Fair Value	$10.80
Current Price	$11.45
Upside	-5.67%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	-10.93%	0.00%	0.22	0.21	0.20	0.18	0.18	0.39	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	4.87%	6.35%	10.05%	-0.47%	-54.10%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.57%	1.97%	1.90%	1.53%	1.82%	3.71%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.48

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.82	0.51	0.31
Cash Retained (M)	1.48	1.48	1.48
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.82	-0.51	-0.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.66	0.97	1.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3.89	3.89	3.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.17	0.25	0.30
LTM Dividend per Share	0.67	0.67	0.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.17	0.25	0.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.84	0.92	0.97
WACC / Discount Rate	9.32%	9.32%	9.32%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$7.29	$8.84	$10.45
Upside / Downside	-36.34%	-22.84%	-8.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4.09	4.05	4.01	3.97	3.93	3.89	4.01
Payout Ratio	63.85%	69.08%	74.31%	79.54%	84.77%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2.61	2.80	2.98	3.16	3.33	3.50	3.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.32%	9.32%	9.32%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	2.53	2.56	2.59
Year 2 PV (M)	2.44	2.49	2.54
Year 3 PV (M)	2.34	2.42	2.49
Year 4 PV (M)	2.24	2.33	2.43
Year 5 PV (M)	2.13	2.24	2.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)	35.74	37.60	39.54
Equity Value (M)	47.43	49.65	51.95
Shares Outstanding (M)	3.89	3.89	3.89
Fair Value	$12.20	$12.77	$13.36
Upside / Downside	6.53%	11.51%	16.67%

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Aallon Group Oyj (AALLON.HE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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