Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shmoh Almadi Co. (9622.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.46 - $6.66$5.51
Multi-Stage$8.67 - $9.52$9.09
Blended Fair Value$7.30
Current Price$15.00
Upside-51.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%1.391.721.310.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---19.31%30.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.11%8.11%6.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.940.590.35
Cash Retained (M)2.192.192.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.94-0.59-0.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.241.601.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.658.658.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.50
WACC / Discount Rate7.57%7.57%7.57%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.46$5.51$6.66
Upside / Downside-70.25%-63.29%-55.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.714.674.624.574.534.484.62
Payout Ratio53.61%60.89%68.17%75.44%82.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.532.843.153.453.754.034.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.57%7.57%7.57%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2.612.642.67
Year 2 PV (M)2.672.722.78
Year 3 PV (M)2.692.772.86
Year 4 PV (M)2.692.802.91
Year 5 PV (M)2.662.802.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)61.7064.9268.26
Equity Value (M)75.0278.6582.42
Shares Outstanding (M)8.658.658.65
Fair Value$8.67$9.09$9.52
Upside / Downside-42.20%-39.41%-36.50%

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