Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Multi Business Group Co. (9619.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$121.09 - $608.38$252.29
Multi-Stage$290.57 - $321.15$305.55
Blended Fair Value$278.92
Current Price$16.80
Upside1,560.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.230.120.160.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--100.00%-25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.57%0.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)42.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.445.273.16
Cash Retained (M)35.6835.6835.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.44-5.27-3.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.2430.4132.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.8312.8312.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.122.372.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.122.372.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.632.883.04
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$121.09$252.29$608.38
Upside / Downside620.78%1,401.71%3,521.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)42.1841.7641.3440.9340.5240.1141.32
Payout Ratio15.41%30.33%45.25%60.16%75.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.5012.6618.7124.6230.4236.1038.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12.5212.6512.78
Year 2 PV (M)18.2818.6619.04
Year 3 PV (M)23.7924.5325.28
Year 4 PV (M)29.0630.2731.51
Year 5 PV (M)34.0935.8737.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,609.263,797.203,992.89
Equity Value (M)3,727.013,919.174,119.21
Shares Outstanding (M)12.8312.8312.83
Fair Value$290.57$305.55$321.15
Upside / Downside1,629.58%1,718.76%1,811.59%

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