DDM Analysis: 9616.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$54.39 - $121.52	$113.88
Multi-Stage	$18.40 - $20.13	$19.25
Blended Fair Value	$66.57
Current Price	$3.20
Upside	1,980.24%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	127.62%	0.00%	0.34	0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.22	0.04	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	117.73%	22.07%	512.88%	2,740.47%	-86.79%	-97.53%	413.15%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	11.45%	4.94%	4.28%	0.69%	0.02%	0.10%	4.19%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	392.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	216.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)	176.06

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	78.43	49.02	29.41
Cash Retained (M)	176.06	176.06	176.06
(-) Cash Required (M)	-78.43	-49.02	-29.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)	97.63	127.04	146.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	641.73	641.73	641.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.15	0.20	0.23
LTM Dividend per Share	0.34	0.34	0.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.15	0.20	0.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.49	0.53	0.57
WACC / Discount Rate	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$54.39	$113.88	$121.52
Upside / Downside	1,599.80%	3,458.87%	3,697.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	392.13	417.62	444.76	473.67	504.46	537.25	553.37
Payout Ratio	55.10%	62.08%	69.06%	76.04%	83.02%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	216.07	259.26	307.16	360.18	418.80	483.52	511.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	241.27	243.56	245.85
Year 2 PV (M)	266.01	271.07	276.19
Year 3 PV (M)	290.28	298.61	307.10
Year 4 PV (M)	314.10	326.18	338.61
Year 5 PV (M)	337.48	353.78	370.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)	10,360.84	10,861.28	11,380.86
Equity Value (M)	11,809.98	12,354.48	12,919.31
Shares Outstanding (M)	641.73	641.73	641.73
Fair Value	$18.40	$19.25	$20.13
Upside / Downside	475.10%	501.62%	529.12%

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Neutech Group Limited (9616.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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