Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

ASG Plastic Factory Co. (9607.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - MiscellaneousSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.51 - $64.88$52.27
Multi-Stage$98.17 - $108.19$103.09
Blended Fair Value$77.68
Current Price$52.00
Upside49.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.770.700.890.190.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--9.74%-20.72%367.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.17%1.43%1.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.023.762.26
Cash Retained (M)21.6621.6621.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.02-3.76-2.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.6317.8919.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.976.976.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.242.572.78
LTM Dividend per Share1.211.211.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.242.572.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.463.784.00
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$41.51$52.27$64.88
Upside / Downside-20.18%0.52%24.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.1229.8229.5229.2228.9328.6429.50
Payout Ratio28.09%40.47%52.85%65.24%77.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.4612.0715.6019.0622.4625.7827.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.2511.3711.48
Year 2 PV (M)13.5713.8414.12
Year 3 PV (M)15.4615.9316.42
Year 4 PV (M)16.9817.6818.41
Year 5 PV (M)18.1719.1220.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)609.14640.86673.89
Equity Value (M)684.57718.81754.43
Shares Outstanding (M)6.976.976.97
Fair Value$98.17$103.09$108.19
Upside / Downside88.80%98.24%108.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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