Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Foods Gate Trading Co. (9562.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.67 - $68.87$57.98
Multi-Stage$76.81 - $84.48$80.57
Blended Fair Value$69.28
Current Price$38.00
Upside82.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.890.000.003.460.290.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%1,100.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.141.961.18
Cash Retained (M)13.5813.5813.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.14-1.96-1.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.4411.6212.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.362.362.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.424.915.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.424.915.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.315.806.14
WACC / Discount Rate8.91%8.91%8.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$47.67$57.98$68.87
Upside / Downside25.44%52.59%81.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.6815.5215.3715.2115.0614.9115.36
Payout Ratio13.40%28.72%44.04%59.36%74.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.104.466.779.0311.2513.4214.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.91%8.91%8.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.054.094.13
Year 2 PV (M)5.595.715.82
Year 3 PV (M)6.786.997.21
Year 4 PV (M)7.688.008.32
Year 5 PV (M)8.338.769.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)149.17156.93165.02
Equity Value (M)181.59190.48199.72
Shares Outstanding (M)2.362.362.36
Fair Value$76.81$80.57$84.48
Upside / Downside102.13%112.02%122.31%

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