DDM Analysis: 9301.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,335.51 - $2,060.25	$1,672.10
Multi-Stage	$1,120.94 - $1,219.82	$1,169.51
Blended Fair Value	$1,420.80
Current Price	$1,212.50
Upside	17.18%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	16.66%	18.24%	31.13	21.34	18.26	15.63	14.20	14.41	7.03	7.28	5.83	5.83
YoY Growth	-	-	45.90%	16.87%	16.82%	10.04%	-1.42%	104.88%	-3.39%	24.96%	0.00%	-0.05%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.63%	2.00%	2.57%	2.41%	2.16%	2.59%	1.18%	1.52%	0.97%	1.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	48,355.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	11,739.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	36,616.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	9,671.00	6,044.38	3,626.63
Cash Retained (M)	36,616.00	36,616.00	36,616.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-9,671.00	-6,044.38	-3,626.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	26,945.00	30,571.63	32,989.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	361.02	361.02	361.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share	74.64	84.68	91.38
LTM Dividend per Share	32.52	32.52	32.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share	74.64	84.68	91.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend	107.15	117.20	123.90
WACC / Discount Rate	13.96%	13.96%	13.96%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1,335.51	$1,672.10	$2,060.25
Upside / Downside	10.15%	37.91%	69.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	48,355.00	51,498.08	54,845.45	58,410.40	62,207.08	66,250.54	68,238.06
Payout Ratio	24.28%	37.42%	50.57%	63.71%	76.86%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	11,739.00	19,271.28	27,733.16	37,213.67	47,809.46	59,625.49	63,120.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	13.96%	13.96%	13.96%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	16,751.09	16,909.87	17,068.65
Year 2 PV (M)	20,953.88	21,352.99	21,755.87
Year 3 PV (M)	24,439.94	25,141.52	25,856.40
Year 4 PV (M)	27,292.55	28,342.14	29,421.72
Year 5 PV (M)	29,586.58	31,015.62	32,499.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)	285,650.47	299,447.50	313,772.57
Equity Value (M)	404,674.51	422,209.65	440,374.57
Shares Outstanding (M)	361.02	361.02	361.02
Fair Value	$1,120.94	$1,169.51	$1,219.82
Upside / Downside	-7.55%	-3.55%	0.60%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (9301.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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